|
Crypto |
BTC |
ETH |
|
Weekly High |
$ 79,701 |
$ 2,647 |
|
Weekly Low |
$ 76,392 |
$ 2,410 |
The market turned more cautious during the week, as BTC lost momentum after its late-August rebound and broader risk appetite weakened across digital assets.
The dominant market tone was one of consolidation under pressure rather than outright capitulation, with traders reacting to tighter macro conditions and weaker ETF flow momentum. The most important macro signals came from energy and the latest CPI result, where Brent crude moved back toward the $100 per barrel area and CPI came in above expectations, reinforcing inflation concerns and adding pressure to risk assets.
Meanwhile, ETF flows also turned less supportive for BTC during the week. Spot BTC ETFs recorded net outflows of approximately $463 million, ending a streak of three consecutive weeks of net inflows. As macro headwinds and elevated funding costs continue to mount, the short-term market narrative has shifted from "whether new capital is entering the market" to "where capital will ultimately be allocated in a high-inflation, high-interest-rate environment." With flows now turning negative, the relatively elevated levels of leverage and open interest in futures may also pose potential risks heading into the coming week.
Upcoming Macro Calendar - Source: Trading Economics
Over the past week, BTC and ETH markets showed divergent price action after the prior week’s consolidation at elevated levels. BTC pulled back to around $76,392 (from ~$79,500), while ETH continued higher to approximately $2,647 (from ~$2,450). Implied volatility ticked higher across short tenors, with BTC 1W ATM IV rising from ~32.0% last week to ~34.8% and ETH 1W IV increasing more notably from ~39.1% to ~46.9%. Realized volatility moderated for BTC (RV ~30.6%), flipping the volatility risk premium back to positive territory (+4.2%), while ETH RV remained elevated (~52.6%), keeping its VRP negative. Skew stayed mildly call-biased but moderated compared with last week, with BTC 25Δ 1W skew at –2.3% and ETH 25Δ 1W skew at –2.0%. ETF netflows turned predominantly negative for BTC, while ETH recorded mixed but strong inflows toward the end of the week.
The benchmarks finished the week lower with increasing uncertainty against U.S-Iran strikes and the oil price pressure: the DJIA lost 1.6%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.17%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.66%. The Chinese stock market finished the week lower: the Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.07%, the CSI 300 declined 0.83% and the Hang Seng index fell 3.30%.

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