|
Crypto |
BTC |
ETH |
|
Weekly High |
$ 77,957 |
$ 2,451 |
|
Weekly Low |
$ 70,758 |
$ 2,183 |
The crypto market rallied on positivity driven by compelling negotiations between the US and Iran, bolstered by President Trump’s social media presence and his consistent war-ending messages. Rumors successfully pushed Bitcoin (BTC) past the strong 72K resistance, alongside Morgan Stanley’s newest BTC ETF, which purchased roughly $100 million worth of BTC during that period. This marked a powerful shift as traditional finance expands its influence into DeFi and deeper integration. Ethereum and other altcoins followed Bitcoin's lead with larger percentage gains, ETH spiked to 2,460 before pulling back to settle between 2,250 and 2,350.
While war uncertainties continue to cloud investors' and traders' decisions, US equities showed a sharp recovery after the recent dip, exceeding previous peaks to surge to a new all-time high above 7,000. As geopolitical tensions eased, oil prices plunged to $80 as the ceasefire materialized. Investors should remain sharp and alert to the ever-changing Strait of Hormuz drama to avoid missing opportunities or suffering capital loss from a sudden black swan event.
Upcoming Macro Calendar - Source: Trading Economics
Over the past week, the market inched higher, with BTC climbing to around $77,000 and ETH nearing $2,400. The advance was primarily driven by renewed institutional interest, as BTC recorded net ETF inflows of approximately +13K BTC and ETH saw robust inflows of around +118K ETH. Implied volatility eased modestly across 1-week and longer tenors in tandem with realized volatility, with BTC 1W ATM IV settling at 39% and ETH 1W IV at 60%, while longer-dated IV held relatively stable in the mid-40s (BTC) to mid-60s (ETH). Skew retained an overall bearish tilt but showed clear relief in 1-week and longer tenors—BTC 25Δ 1W skew ending at 9.85 vol points while ETH 25Δ 1W skew flattened to just 1.32 vol points—signaling a significant reduction in demand for aggressive downside protection.
The major benchmarks finished the week with solid gains, with several of them marking record highs: the DJIA added +3.19%, the S&P 500 rose +4.53%, and the Nasdaq gained +6.83%. The Chinese stock market also finished a strong week with the ceasefire agreement of U.S.-Iran strikes: the Shanghai Composite Index added +1.64%, the CSI 300 rose +1.99% and the Hang Seng index advanced +1.03%.

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Amber Group