|
Crypto |
BTC |
ETH |
|
Weekly High |
$ 71,683 |
$ 2,186 |
|
Weekly Low |
$ 65,604 |
$ 1,973 |
As the Iran war entered its fifth week, the market gradually shifted from short-term extreme fear to concerns about mid-term inflation caused by the shortage of crude oil and other energy sources. Federal Reserve's dovish officials collectively shifted their stance, leading to a consensus that Fed will hold the interest rates in April.
Bitcoin ranged between 65k and 72k last week, mainly driven by derivatives and leverage, keeping spot price action fragile. Following a large-scale liquidation of contracts on March 23rd, BTC price rose by nearly 4.5%. However, as $14 billion options expired, BTC briefly dropped to 65k on Friday. After experiencing the largest options settlement of the year, the market overall trended towards conservatism, with an increase in hedging and risk aversion. Data also showed a net outflow of $296 million from Bitcoin ETFs last week, indicating a prevailing negative sentiment in the market.
Over the past week ending March 28, 2026, BTC and ETH options markets navigated post-expiry volatility around a massive $14–15 billion Deribit quarterly settlement on March 27, which wiped ~40% of total open interest with a defensive tilt. Prices initially rebounded on de-escalation headlines but gave back gains amid the expiry, with BTC testing $72k before settling around $66k and ETH testing $2.2k before hovering near $2k. Implied volatility stabilised after an early spike, trading roughly in line with realized volatility (BTC main-term/1W ATM ~51–52% vs RV ~45%; ETH ~72% vs RV ~57%), reflecting continued cautious expectations. Skew retained a bearish tilt, more pronounced for BTC than ETH, signaling heightened downside protection demand. ETF netflows flipped negative for BTC for the week and continued outflows for ETH (4k BTC outflows and 97k ETH outflows).
The major indices finished the week lower, mostly driven by the increasing geopolitical strikes and uncertainty against the oil market: the DJIA shed 0.9%, the S&P 500 dropped 2.1%, and the Nasdaq fell 3.2%. The Chinese stock market also closed lower for a second consecutive week: the Shanghai Composite Index lost 1.09%, the CSI 300 fell 1.41%, and the Hang Seng index retreated 1.29%.

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Amber Group