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News & Insights/Market
Weekly Market Insights - 1 May 2023

By Amber Group 04/30/2023, 3 min read time


BTC and ETH Market Insight

The BTC market started 2023 strongly but has encountered significant resistance at $30k, causing a pullback to $28k.
Many holders were seeing their holdings recover above the acquisition price and the incentive for them to take profits grew. The mid-week rally in the crypto market was wiped out as the US banking crisis reappeared in the news, and the regulatory environment became increasingly stringent.
The desk also observed a rise in dormant addresses waking up, and the market appeared less decisive than earlier this year.
The capital favored Avalanche, Ethereum, and Optimism with $12.04m, $15.49m, and $28.56m respectively netflow onto the chains.


Options Market

Despite the violent spot move on Wednesday and Thursday, the reaction from implied volatility and skew was somewhat dismissive. Generally, such an abrupt and violent move would spark demand for options but IV only drifted marginally higher and cooled off on the recovery anon as we head for the weekend.
Near-term IV marked below 50 points for both BTC and ETH with ETH retaining its premium over BTC across the term structure.
Skew remained in a similar form with puts favored for ETH vs calls favored for BTC although the premium had nudged lower towards neutrality. Long gamma into the upcoming FOMC might not be a bad idea given the rising spot volatility and IV still trading at a discount to its RV.


Altcoins and Blockchain News

  • After the Ethereum Shanghai upgrade, more than 400,000 ETHs flowed into the LSD (liquidity staking derivatives) protocols, with a total locked value of more than 16 billion US dollars.

  • Ultrasound.money data shows that since the merge of Ethereum, the circulation amount has decreased by more than 125,000.

  • Bitcoin’s on-chain transaction volume hits an all-time high since the Ordinals transactions surged recently.

  • The Bitcoin halving time is expected to be April 28 next year, and there are less than 365 days left.

  • Binance.US terminates the $1 billion acquisition of Voyager.

  • OP Labs tweeted that the Bedrock upgrade of the Optimism main-net has entered the consensus and function freeze stage, and is committed to achieving code stability for 2 weeks before the date when the OP mainnet is upgraded to Bedrock.

  • Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission chief executive Leung Fung-yee said that Hong Kong will issue licensing guidelines for cryptocurrency exchanges in May.

  • Catalyst, a cross-chain liquidity protocol, completed a $4.2 million seed round financing led by Spartan Group.

  • According to NFTGo.io data, the 24-hour trading volume of Doodles series NFT reached 1256.37 ETH, an increase of 229.39%.


Macro

Last week, major US equities indexes closed in green on the back of large-cap firms’ strong earnings report. Advanced estimate of the Q1 annualized GDP growth rate came out at 1.1% on Thursday vs. a consensus of 2%, drawing concerns about an economic slowdown and recession.

Turmoil in the banking sector continued as First Republic Bank's share price plunged nearly 80% in a week; FDIC has intervened and asked several major banks to submit bids for First Republic Bank by Sunday.

Over the week, the Dow added 0.9%, the NASDAQ added 1.3%, and the S&P 500 added 0.9%. 

 


 

 

 

 

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